Over the past few days, I’ve been digging into the work of a guy named Ryan Burge.
Like me, he works in multiple fields simultaneously: He’s an associate professor of political science at Eastern Illinois University and a pastor in the American Baptist Church. Unlike me, he’s a repeatedly published author (in both book and published scientific research form), has been featured in a million press outlets, and “60 Minutes” called him “one of the leading data analysts on religion and politics” in America. Checkmate to Ryan.
But we do have one further shared interest: an appreciation for good visualization. At his website, Graphs About Religion, as well as on his Twitter feed, he posts, well, graphs about religion.
While many of those graphs don’t involve Utah’s predominant religion (The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints) due to sample size issues or other polling limitations, many of them do. And in this article, I thought I’d compile some of his most interesting work about the Salt Lake City-based faith and its characteristics. How does the church compare to others around the country? Is there something unique about its adherents?
Let’s check out the data.
1. LDS views on political affiliation
Let’s begin by looking at the political data — Burge’s specialty. Where do Latter-day Saints stand on the political spectrum?
(Note that the word “Mormons” may be used in these graphics, typically when the poll involved asked participants about their religious affiliation using that term. The church, though, has asked that their adherents not be referred to by that term.)
This is the Nationscape data - a total of sample of 477,000. That affords me the ability to look at the LDS by age.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) April 13, 2023
Among older Mormons, that GOP strength comes through. 70% are Republicans, 20% are Democrats.
But look at 20-year-olds. 52% are Reps. 38% are Dems.
2/5 pic.twitter.com/ujC1EHOQyI
You can see the huge difference in the political views of young Latter-day Saints compared to older ones; they’re way more likely to be Democrats. I figured there’d also be an increase in self-described independents, but you really just don’t see that in the data. They’re pretty consistently represented as just a small percentage of the church throughout.
I also liked the way Burge crafted this graph to show just how much more leftward young Latter-day Saints put themselves compared to the Republican Party.
And notice how much more moderate the average younger LDS seems themselves. Just slightly right of center.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) April 13, 2023
While older LDS are much further to the right.
Also younger LDS see the GOP and Trump lurching far to the right in recent years.
Big primary implications.
5/5 pic.twitter.com/PPXcM0FjwF
Older Latter-day Saints tend to average their views right around the rest of the Republican Party and pretty close to Donald Trump’s. Younger Latter-day Saints are much more in the middle.
Overall, though, Latter-day Saints still consider the Democratic Party more extremist than nearly any other religious group, while considering the Republican Party more “middle of the road.”
This is fun.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) March 4, 2022
Folks were asked to place the Democratic party on a scale from Very Liberal (1) to Very Conservative (7).
White evangelicals put them at a 1.6 average.
LDS are next at 1.9.
Atheist placed them at 3.0.
Muslims saw them as most moderate at 3.2 pic.twitter.com/TmnNjB2bxR
2. LDS habits with TV viewership
But what do Latter-day Saints watch on TV?
What are people actually watching?
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) August 14, 2023
Well, a lot of stuff, honestly. The broadcast networks (CBS, ABC, NBC) still do fairly well across the religious spectrum.
CNN is favored by groups like Muslims and Hindus.
Fox News is consumed by white evangelicals, LDS, and Orthodox. pic.twitter.com/gwDEauC6Qn
Most frequently, Fox News. Some 54% of responding Latter-day Saints said they watched the channel in the past 24 hours, a truly astonishing statistic. That ranks them third, behind white evangelical and Orthodox traditions as the most likely to watch the network. Latter-day Saints are also among the least likely to watch CNN or MSNBC.
Note, though, that this doesn’t mean to expect a large Latter-day Saint influence on Fox News. Despite the high viewership numbers, they make up just 1% of Fox News’ overall audience.
What’s the second-most watched TV network for Latter-day Saints? CBS and NBC come neck and neck, with over a third choosing to watch them in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, Latter-day Saints were the largest religious group choosing “other” in the past 24 hours — meaning that they watched another network besides the seven listed here.
3. LDS views on guns
Like their white, evangelical, Fox News-watching counterparts, Latter-day Saints tend to own guns. Fully 52% of Latter-day Saints in the 2022 Cooperative Election Study said they owned a gun.
According to self-reported survey data, the only two traditions where a majority of folks have a gun in their household are white evangelicals (54%) and LDS (52%).
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) August 27, 2023
36% of white Catholics own a gun.
It's 26% of Black Protestants.
The least likely are Hindus - 8%. pic.twitter.com/StJLROoHKM
While about 85% of Latter-day Saints support background checks on gun purchases, a majority wouldn’t support banning assault rifles. That puts them at odds with Americans overall, the majority of whom supported banning assault rifles by a 63% to 36% margin.
Here's the CCES from 2018. Each question has ~750 respondents, so decent CIs. pic.twitter.com/yrGTu6uYMG
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) August 26, 2019
Finally, a whopping 66% of Latter-day Saints also believed that teachers should be allowed to carry guns in schools. Once again, that makes them the second most likely religious tradition to support that concept.
4. LDS views on racial issues
But perhaps some of Fox News’ most controversial recent impacts on race relations have been less likely to impact the thinking of Latter-day Saints. In 2016, Latter-day Saints were most likely to believe that “racial problems in the U.S. are rare, isolated situations.” When asked the same question in 2020, they were the fourth most likely.
"Racial problems in the US are rare, isolated situations"
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) April 8, 2022
In 2016, 30% of white evangelicals agreed with that statement. In 2020, it was 45%.
% increase in agreement:
Non-white evangelicals: +7
Mainline: +6
White Catholic: +8
LDS: +3
Hindu: +14
Atheist: +1 pic.twitter.com/fiS37fnxq7
A whole examination of the trend of Latter-day Saints’ belief in systemic or at least non-rare racism goes well beyond the scope of this column. But I was also interested to see the position religious members took on agreeing or disagreeing with the statement: “I prefer my close relative marry spouses from the same race.”
"I prefer my close relative marry spouses from the same race."
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) November 20, 2022
Lots of white evangelicals agree with this. Lot less LDS. That's interesting.
Muslims and Hindus are very high on this measure - Buddhists are a lot lower.
Older atheists/agnostics are more likely to agree. pic.twitter.com/c0FneBSMOr
I’ll be honest, I’m stunned at how many people across a wide variety of faiths will agree with that statement in a survey. Maybe it’s just my values. But to me, having preferences in the racial composition of a family member’s partner seems like a form of extremely clear-cut, unacceptable racism.
Comparatively, though, Latter-day Saints don’t share that value more than other religious groups — though the numbers still seem high to me.
5. LDS views on transgender rights
A short category: a majority of Latter-day Saints support the right for transgender people to serve in the military, though they are the second-most likely religious group to oppose their entrance into service.
In November of 2020, 35% of Americans supported banning transgender people from military service.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) January 23, 2022
The only group where the majority were in favor of this ban was white evangelicals - 60%.
46% of LDS.
38% of white Catholics.
28% of Black Protestants.
10% of atheists. pic.twitter.com/WzUNNzdpsc
Overall, 35% of Americans in November 2020 supported banning transgender people from military service, while 60% of white evangelicals and 46% of Latter-day Saints favored a ban.
6. LDS influence in U.S. Congress
This is the only paragraph in this article not made by Burge, but I found it interesting and related to the rest of the data: The number of Latter-day Saints in Congress is at a relatively low point.
(https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2023/01/03/faith-on-the-hill-2023/)
From at least 2009 to 2020, double-digit numbers of congressional members told the Pew Research Center they were Mormon — and the same was true in 1969, 1979, 1989 and 1999,. Now, though, Congress is down to nine Latter-day Saint respondents. The recent retirements or political defeats of Sens. Tom Udall, D-N.M.; Jeff Flake, R-Ariz.; and Dean Heller, R-Nev., pushed the list down to nine. Now, it’s Utah’s six-man political contingent, plus Sen. Mike Crapo, R-Idaho; and Reps. Mike Simpson, R-Idaho, and Andy Biggs, R-Ariz.
7. LDS household income and views on minimum wage
OK, let’s leave the political sphere. How about household income by religion? Be warned: There are a lot of religious groups dissected in the graph below.
I like data, particularly about religion. @ryanburge is the best follow if you do too
— David Ostler (@DavidBOstler) January 30, 2023
I always thought LDS members had higher income than average. Maybe because leaders are. Turns out LDS members aren't.
No grand conclusions, just me sharing my daily fix of data. pic.twitter.com/3Q3cUCeR7q
In the end, Latter-day Saint households have a pretty middle-of-the-road household income. As some commenters on the post noted, that may well be due to the higher tendency of Latter-day Saints to have one-income households rather than two incomes.
Latter-day Saints are, though, more unlikely to support raising the minimum wage than any other religion.
Is support for raising the minimum wage tied to personal income?
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) February 23, 2022
For some, like atheists, the answer is no.
But for many, support rises and falls based on income. In most cases - the more money you make, the less supportive you are.
For white evangelicals, it's curvilinear. pic.twitter.com/oXIuONpmqc
While those Latter-day Saints whose households make less than $70,000 tend to support the notion of raising the minimum wage to $15 — as do roughly two-thirds of Americans, more wealthy Latter-day Saint households would prefer not to do so.
8. LDS church attendance
How many Latter-day Saints regularly attend church?
The church attendance of 49 traditions.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) May 20, 2022
Lotta interesting nuggets in there.
56% of Orthodox Jews attend weekly. It's 6% of Reform Jews.
64% of LDS attend weekly.
41% of Catholics attend seldom or never.
The charismatic traditions seem to attend the most. pic.twitter.com/3AJ2ewWiep
Again, there’s a lot of sects in that list. But among all of them, Latter-day Saints are third-most likely to attend church weekly. There’s a lot of worry in the Latter-day Saint (and former Latter-day Saints) community about members who don’t attend often or at all — well, a lot of religions have that problem, and most of them, worse than Latter-day Saints.
Latter-day Saints are also among the youngest average church attendees. Like nearly every sect, the average age of church attendees has significantly risen in the past decade-plus.
The average adult American in 2020 was 48 years old.
— Ryan Burge 📊 (@ryanburge) February 8, 2023
The average age of a weekly attender in the following religious traditions in 2020:
Disciples of Christ: 63 yrs old.
United Methodist: 60
LCMS: 60
TEC: 59
SBC: 57
Orthodox Christian: 40
Orthodox Jew: 43
LDS: 44 pic.twitter.com/TyToF0gcP1
Overall, I find this stuff fascinating, and many thanks to Burge for doing such interesting research. I swear this article isn’t an ad for his site. But if you’re like me and enjoyed this information, it’d only be right to check out GraphsAboutReligion.com.
As for the larger trends at play here, it’ll be interesting how an emerging adult group of young Latter-day Saints that is less Republican, but still relatively frequent in church attendance, acts to change the church and its adherents’ views overall. In these graphs, many categories of Latter-day Saints are near the right-most edge of American religions, but that could be shifting. That being said, perhaps church members will simply shift more toward the views of their parents as time passes. Time will have to tell.
Andy Larsen is a data columnist for The Salt Lake Tribune. You can reach him at alarsen@sltrib.com
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