House Speaker Greg Curtis (R) (i) vs. Jay Seegmiller (D)
CURTIS
In his favor:
He has almost limitless resources (nearly $500,000)
He has been elected here seven times.
He's ready. Unlike last time around, he won't be taken by surprise.
His disadvantage:
Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate. Has Curtis accumulated too many?
SEEGMILLER
In His Favor:
He's not Greg Curtis.
In his third challenge, he has built familiarity.
State Democrats want this one.
His Disadvantage:
Not exactly Mr. Charisma.
District leans Republican.
Watch for: Mudslinging, voter turnout
Senate District 27
Rep. Brad King (D) vs. David Hinkins (R )
KING
In his favor:
This seat, vacated by Sen. Mike Dmitrich, has been Democratic since the Bronze Age
A six-term House member, King has represented parts of the district
Has Dmitrich's support
His disadvantage:
Republican Utah County is a large and growing part of the district
HINKINS
In his favor:
Local businessman, well-known in the community
Deep pockets
His disadvantage:
District has natural Dem leanings
Watch for:
King must win Emery County
Senate District 8
Sen. Carlene Walker (R) (i) vs. Rep. Karen Morgan (D)
WALKER
In her favor:
She's the incumbent and a moderate
Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr. in her corner and on her billboard
Her disadvantage:
Voted for school vouchers
Entire east bench has been trending Democratic
MORGAN
In her favor:
A five-term House member
Strong backing of education unions
Prominent ethics reform message
Her disadvantage:
Always tough to beat an incumbent
Watch for: Do Jim Matheson and Peter Corroon have coattails here?
Senate District 10
Sen. Chris Buttars (R) (i) vs. John Rendell (D)
BUTTARS
In his favor:
A two-term incumbent in the GOP heartland
Backing of Eagle Forum and GOP Senate
His disadvantage:
The infamous "baby is black" episode
The letter scolding a judge
Various other Buttarsisms
RENDELL
In his favor:
Has knocked on thousands of doors
Lots of eager donors
He's not Chris Buttars
His disadvantage:
Heavily Republican district
Not well-known
Watch for:
The dirt is flying in District 10. Can Buttars' buddies bail him out?
House District 51
Rep. Greg Hughes (R) (i) vs. Lisa Johnson (D)
HUGHES
In his favor:
Incumbent in a GOP district
Strong base, good financing
Cleared of ethics allegations
Has surged back in polls
His disadvantage:
Stain of ethics charges tough to wash off
Chided by ethics committee for "unbecoming" conduct
JOHNSON
In her favor:
Backing from education community
Area may be trending Democratic
Ethics reform central to her campaign
Party running cable ads on her behalf
Her disadvantage:
Lost here by 15 percent in 2006
District still leans Republican
GOP claims she broke lobbying rules
Watch for: Do voters vote based on ethics blowup?
House District 48
Ex-Rep. LaVar Christensen (R) vs. ex-Rep. Trish Beck (D)
CHRISTENSEN
In his favor:
Republican beat Beck by 34 votes in 2002
Darling of Utah conservatives with Eagle Forum backing
Big spender, most of it ($38,000) his own money
His disadvantage:
Is he too conservative for this district?
BECK
In her favor:
Has represented this area before
Has knocked on 12,000 doors
Her disadvantage:
This district was drawn for Republicans
Watch for: Will foot soldiers turn out for Christensen?
House District 45
Rep. Brian Monsen (R) (i) vs. Laura Black (D)
MONSEN
In his favor:
Now the incumbent after replacing Rep. Mark Walker
Big money from health industry and House GOP
His disadvantage:
Short-time incumbent in true swing district
BLACK
In her favor:
In third try at the seat, she's better-known
Lost by a whisker (18 votes) in '06
Her disadvantage:
Democrats have come close but not won here
Watch for: Will Monsen pay for Walker scandal?
Senate District 1
Luz Robles (D) vs. Carlton Christensen (R )
ROBLES
In her favor:
Long-time Democratic district
Knocked out incumbent Democrat Fred Fife at convention
Her ethnicity, community activism resonates
Has worked the district hard
Her disadvantage:
A rookie politician
Perhaps not as well-known as Christensen
CHRISTENSEN
In his favor:
Well-known, 11-year city councilman
Represented much of this west-side district
Outspending Robles by 50 percent
His disadvantage:
Needs Dems to cross over in big numbers
Watch for: Can Barack Obama enthusiasm boost Robles votes?

