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NEW YORK • Geoffrey Mutai sees the scorching fast times put up by his training partners and figures he should be able to match them.
They're doing the same workouts, so he's confident he can put up the same results. When Dennis Kimetto broke the course record at last month's Chicago Marathon, Mutai said, "I was feeling it was me."
Mutai already owns the course record at the New York City Marathon, where he will defend his title Sunday. His goal is to go even faster.
The Kenyan won in New York two years ago in 2 hours, 5 minutes, 6 seconds. That was the last time the NYC Marathon was held, and much has changed since that day Mutai describes as "perfect."
The 2012 race was called off because of the destruction of Superstorm Sandy, but not before the week's events enraged many residents and runners. City and marathon officials initially vowed that the race would go on, and many New Yorkers recoiled at the idea of possibly diverting resources after a natural disaster. The decision to cancel didn't come until a day-and-a-half before the scheduled start time, and by then, many out-of-town entrants had already made their long trips to the city after hearing the earlier assurances.
Then in April, at another major marathon in the Northeast, the scene of cheering fans packed along the race course lost its innocence. Two bombs exploded near the finish line in Boston, killing three people and injuring more than 260.
The increased security Sunday will be most evident near the finish line in Central Park. There will be barricades around the park limiting entry points, bag checks, bomb-sniffing dogs.
More than 47,000 runners are expected at the start of the 43rd running of the NYC Marathon, taking on the 26.2 miles through the five boroughs. A handful will be competing for the $100,000 prize for the men's and women's champions.
Five races within the race to watch:
— Mutai has run the fastest marathon in history, 2:03:02 in Boston in 2011. It didn't count as a world record because the course is too straight and downhill. The official world record was lowered in September to 2:03:23 in Berlin by Wilson Kipsang, who also sometimes trains with Mutai. Two weeks later, Kimetto nearly broke it again when he won Chicago in 2:03:45. New York is a difficult course, unlikely to produce a world record. A windy morning is in the forecast for Sunday, which may also keep Mutai's course record safe.
— Stephen Kiprotich's personal best time is 2:07:20, slow by today's standards. But he keeps proving he knows how to race. The Ugandan was the surprise gold medalist as the 2012 London Olympics, then proved that was no fluke when won a world championship in August. That New York is a championship-style setup, with no pace-setter, bodes well for Kiprotich.
Kiprotich and Ethiopia's Tsegaye Kebede, the reigning London Marathon champ, are also competing for the World Marathon Majors title, a $500,000 bonus.
— A year ago, Meb Keflezighi planned to run the 2012 NYC Marathon and the 2013 races in Boston and New York, and then retire. He jokes he should qualify such pronouncements with "Subject to change."
So much for the first two races on that list. New York was canceled, and he pulled out of Boston because of injury. Now the 38-year-old Keflezighi is flirting with the idea of competing through the 2016 Olympics.
"Can I squeeze a little more out of it?" he said. "Otherwise, I feel content where my career has been."
He took silver at the 2004 Olympics, the first American man in 28 years to win a marathon medal. And at the 2009 NYC Marathon, he became the first American champion in 27 years.
Keflezighi missed some training because of a calf injury, but he finds confidence from strong performances in the past when he didn't seem to be at full strength.
— Kenyans Edna Kiplagat and Priscah Jeptoo train together and expect to work together for the first part of Sunday's race. The two are competing for a second prize: the World Marathon Majors title. If either wins in New York, she will earn the $500,000 bonus. Kiplagat is the two-time defending world champion, and Jeptoo won the London Marathon this year.
Kiplagat, who won in New York in 2010, is a force in championship-style races.
"This is one of the best courses — it's not a flat course," she said. "It needs a lot of strategy and a lot of mental strength. And I'm happy when I'm on it. It's still very fresh in my mind, the whole course."
— Firehiwot Dado and Buzunesh Deba grew up together in Ethiopia. Deba now lives in the Bronx, but they were reunited at the last NYC Marathon, in 2011. They worked together to chase down Mary Keitany, who had pulled away to a big lead. Dado won and Deba finished second in breakthrough performances for both. Now Dado returns as the defending women's champion, and Deba is trying to win in her new hometown. New York City Marathon Winners
Men
2012 — Cancelled
2011 — Geoffrey Mutai, Kenya, 2:05:06
2010 — Gebre Gebrmariam, Ethiopia, 2:08:14
2009 — Meb Keflezighi, United States, 2:09:15
2008 — Marilson Gomes dos Santos, Brazil, 2:08:43
2007 — Martin Lel, Kenya, 2:09:04
2006 — Marilson Gomes dos Santos, Brazil, 2:09:58
2005 — Paul Tergat, Kenya, 2:09:30
2004 — Hendrik Ramaala, South Africa, 2:09:28
2003 — Martin Lel, Kenya, 2:10:30
2002 — Rodgers Rop, Kenya, 2:08:07
2001 — Tesfaye Jifar, Ethiopia, 2:07:43
2000 — Abdelkhader El Mouaziz, Morocco, 2:10:09
1999 — Joseph Chebet, Kenya, 2:09:14
1998 — John Kagwe, Kenya, 2:08:45
1997 — John Kagwe, Kenya, 2:08:12
1996 — Giacomo Leone, Italy, 2:09:54
1995 — German Silva, Mexico, 2:11:00
1994 — German Silva, Mexico, 2:11:21
1993 — Andres Espinosa, Mexico, 2:10:04
1992 — Willie Mtolo, South Africa, 2:09:29
1991 — Salvador Garcia, Mexico, 2:09:28
1990 — Douglas Wakihuri, Kenya, 2:12:39
1989 — Juma Ikangaa, Tanzania, 2:08:01
1988 — Steve Jones, Wales, 2:08:20
1987 — Ibrahim Hussein, Kenya, 2:11:01
1986 — Gianni Poli, Italy, 2:11:06
1985 — Orlando Pizzolato, Italy, 2:11:34
1984 — Orlando Pizzolato, Italy, 2:14:53
1983 — Rod Dixon, New Zealand, 2:08:59
1982 — Alberto Salazar, United States, 2:09:29
1981 — Alberto Salazar, United States, 2:08:13
1980 — Alberto Salazar, United States, 2:09:41
1979 — Bill Rodgers, United States, 2:11:42
1978 — Bill Rodgers, United States, 2:12:11
1977 — Bill Rodgers, United States, 2:11:28
1976 — Bill Rodgers, United States, 2:10:09
1975 — Tom Fleming, United States, 2:19:27
1974 — Norb Sander, United States, 2:26:30
1973 — Tom Fleming, United States, 2:21:54
1972 — Sheldon Karlin, United States, 2:27:52
1971 — Norm Higgins, United States, 2:22:54
1970 — Gary Muhrcke, United States, 2:31:38
Women
2012 — Cancelled
2011 — Firehiwot Dado, Ethiopia, 2:23:15
2010 — Edna Kiplagat, Kenya, 2:28:20
2009 — Derartu Tulu, Ethiopia, 2:28:52
2008 — Paula Radcliffe, Britain, 2:23:56
2007 — Paula Radcliffe, Britain, 2:23:09
2006 — Jelena Prokopcuka, Latvia, 2:25:05
2005 — Jelena Prokopcuka, Latvia, 2:24:41
2004 — Paula Radcliffe, Britain, 2:23:10
2003 — Margaret Okayo, Kenya, 2:22:31
2002 — Joyce Chepchumba, Kenya, 2:25:56
2001 — Margaret Okayo, Kenya, 2:24:21
2000 — Ludmila Petrova, Russia, 2:25:45
1999 — Adriana Fernandez, Mexico, 2:25:06
1998 — Franca Fiacconi, Italy, 2:25:17
1997 — Franziska Rochat-Moser, Switzerland, 2:28:43
1996 — Anuta Catuna, Romania, 2:28.18
1995 — Tegla Loroupe, Kenya, 2:28:06
1994 — Tegla Loroupe, Kenya, 2:27:37
1993 — Uta Pippig, Germany, 2:26:24
1992 — Lisa Ondiecki, Australia, 2:24:40
1991 — Liz McColgan, Scotland, 2:27:23
1990 — Wanda Panfil, Poland, 2:30:45
1989 — Ingrid Kristiansen, Norway, 2:25:30
1988 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:28:07
1987 — Priscilla Welch, Britain, 2:30:17
1986 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:28:06
1985 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:28:34
1984 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:29:30
1983 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:27:00
1982 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:27:14
1981 — Allison Roe, New Zealand, 2:25:29
1980 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:25:41
1979 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:27:33
1978 — Grete Waitz, Norway, 2:32:30
1977 — Miki Gorman, Japan, 2:43:10
1976 — Miki Gorman, Japan, 2:39:11
1975 — Kim Merritt, United States, 2:46:14
1974 — Kathrine Switzer, United States, 3:07:29
1973 — Nina Kuscik, United States, 2:57:07
1972 — Nina Kuscik, United States, 3:18:41
1971 — Beth Bonner, United States, 2:55:22
1970 — No finisher