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(| Tribune file photo) Jim Matheson and Mia Love are about even in the amount of cash they have stockpiled thus far for the 2014 4th Congressional District election.
Tribune poll: Matheson trails Love 52 percent to 40 percent
Tribune poll » Utah’s lone Democrat in Congress says it’s a close race that he can win.
First Published Nov 01 2012 09:46 pm • Last Updated Mar 06 2013 11:31 pm

Editor's Note: The Salt Lake Tribune's pollster has identified flaws in gathering information for this poll. For the latest information on our efforts to correct the information, and the revised poll numbers, click here for the story.

At a glance

4th Congressional District

The newly created district runs from West Valley City on the north (including only part of that city) into Juab and Sanpete counties on the south. It includes all or part of the Salt Lake County communities of Taylorsville, South Salt Lake, Murray, West Jordan, Sandy, South Jordan, Riverton, Herriman and Bluffdale. Outside the Salt Lake Valley, it includes the cities of Lehi, Eagle Mountain, Saratoga Springs and Nephi.

For a map of the district, go to the State Elections Office and click on the designated district.

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For 12 years, Jim Matheson has been a political escape artist, managing to wiggle free from every trap the Utah Republicans have thrown his way.

But after six successful elections, his charmed political run may be coming to an end.

Matheson trails Republican challenger Mia Love 52 percent to 40 percent in a new poll conducted for The Salt Lake Tribune, a large margin in a race where, even a few days ago, both campaigns were predicting a tight finish.

Matheson said lots of polls will have lots of different numbers, and put out a memo from his own polling firm, also completed this week, which shows him with a 2-point lead over Love. Matheson, who hasn't released internal polls in the past, said he plans to send the information to all of his supporters.


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"This is a call to action, because this is a close race and we're in a position to win," he said. Matheson said he is right on the issues important to voters - education, taxes and bipartisanship, in particular - and has a superior ground game and he feels good about the race.

The Tribune poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, found that the coalition of Democrats, independents, moderate Republicans and women that Matheson has united in past elections is failing to coalesce this time around, with just 9 percent of Republicans crossing over to support him.

Matheson's poll showed him getting 19 percent of GOP support.

Brad Coker, managing director at Mason-Dixon, said that Matheson may be falling victim to the popularity of Mitt Romney.

"Romney is winning [Utah] by such a big margin and Republican voters are coming out because of Romney," Coker said. "It's just not a good year to be a Democrat in Utah."

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