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Sean P. Means: Here goes nothing — predicting the Oscar nominees


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If the Cricket had a vote » Brie Larson, tough and tender as a youth counselor in "Short Term 12."

Actor

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The shoo-ins » Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"; Robert Redford, "All Is Lost."

The likely picks » Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"; Tom Hanks, "Captain Phillips."

The final slot » Bruce Dern, "Nebraska."

Out of the race » Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street"; Christian Bale, "American Hustle"; Oscar Isaac, "Inside Llewyn Davis."

If the Cricket had a vote » Michael B. Jordan, bringing humanity to a victim of police violence in "Fruitvale Station."

Director

The shoo-ins » Alfonso Cuarón, "Gravity"; Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave."

The likely picks » Martin Scorsese, "The Wolf of Wall Street"; David O. Russell, "American Hustle."


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The final slot » Paul Greengrass, "Captain Phillips."

Out of the race » The Coen brothers, "Inside Llewyn Davis"; Alexander Payne, "Nebraska."

If the Cricket had a vote » Spike Jonze, creating the future-perfect romance of "Her."

Best Picture

The shoo-ins » "12 Years a Slave," "American Hustle," "Gravity."

The likely picks » "Captain Phillips," "The Wolf of Wall Street," "Saving Mr. Banks," "Nebraska."

The final slot » "Inside Llewyn Davis." (I’m guessing eight nominees this year. Just a hunch.)

Out of the race » "Her," "Lee Daniels’ The Butler," "Dallas Buyers Club."

If the Cricket had a vote » The pure cinema experience of "All Is Lost," with one man, almost no dialogue, and a big unforgiving ocean.

Sean P. Means writes The Cricket in daily blog form at www.sltrib.com/blogs/moviecricket. Follow him on Twitter @moviecricket, or on Facebook at www.facebook.com/seanpmeans. Email him at spmeans@sltrib.com.



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