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Aaron Falk, Tony Jones and Steve Luhm cover the Utah Jazz and the NBA for The Salt Lake Tribune. The Tribune on Twitter - Aaron Falk: @tribjazz, Steve Luhm: @sluhm, Tony Jones: @Tjonessltrib

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Morning shootaround: The view from the bottom

The odds of you winning Warren Buffett's $1 billion bracket challenge were never very good — 1 in 7,419,071,319, according to Nate Silver and his people over at FiveThirtyEight.

Now I don't know what the odds of landing a franchise-changing player in the NBA draft are, but it's safe to say they're better than a 1-in-7-billion shot. And if you want the best chance of finding one, all a team has to do is the very the very thing that got most of your brackets eliminated on Day 1: lose.

A few teams have done a better job of that than others this year — the Jazz, now 1-11 over their last 12 are certainly among them with games against the lottery bound Magic and Pistons next on the schedule.

So with that in mind, here are the league's bottom six teams as of this morning, and their chances according to Tankathon.com of landing a top pick.

1. Milwaukee Bucks

Record: 13-56

Last 10: 1-9

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 64.3%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 25%

Need to know: In a five-point defeat in Oakland last night, the Bucks guard Nate Wolters suffered a broken hand that will likely end his rookie season. Center Larry Sanders, meanwhile, told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel last week that he is done for the year.

"It's funny you go through things in life and they help mold us into better people if you learn from things," Sanders said. "I think that's what this year was all about. Going through it is tough. But when you get through it, you start to understand how you become better."

That's what this year is about for most of these teams.

2. Philadelphia 76ers

Record: 15-53

Last 22: 0-22

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 55.8%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 19.9%

Need to know:


3. Orlando Magic

Record: 19-50

Last 10: 2-8

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 46.9%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 15.6%

Need to know: Orlando is in Utah, preparing for a Saturday night game at EnergySolutions Arena. The Magic then heads to L.A. for a game Sunday night against the Lakers. Those may be the team's two best chances for a win the rest of the season.

4. Utah Jazz

Record: 22-47

Last 10: 1-9

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 37.8%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 11.9%

Need to know: The Jazz have five games remaining against bottom 10 teams this year. The Pistons also have five such games on their schedule. No other bottom 10 team has more than four.

5. Los Angeles Lakers

Record: 22-45

Last 10: 3-7

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 29.2%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 8.8%

Need to know: How much faith do you have in Nick Young, Jazz fans?

At ESPN Los Angeles: "'We just got to finish the year off not being the worst team in Lakers history," said Nick Young, who will play Friday against the Washington Wizards for the first time since Feb. 23 because of a left knee injury. "I talked to Pau (Gasol) about it and he's been on me about coming back, so I'm trying to come back and help the team out.'

"It isn't going to be easy. The Lakers (22-45) would need to finish 9-6 to eclipse the franchise mark for futility set in 1974-75, when the team went 30-52. L.A. comes into the Washington game Friday night having only won nine of its last 41 games."

6. Boston Celtics

Record: 23-46

Last 10: 3-7

Chance of landing a top-three pick: 21.5%

Chance of landing the No. 1 pick: 6.3%

Need to know: The Celtics are coming off a win over the (LeBron James-less) Miami Heat. And if they hope to make major strides in the race to the bottom, they'll have their work cut out for them. Boston faces the 76ers twice more before the season ends.

So what do you think? Where do you see the Jazz finishing?


Orlando Sentinel: One of Magic coach Jacque Vaughn's first and most important NBA lessons came courtesy a John Stockton elbow to the face.

Sports Illustrated: As he prepped Derrick Favors and Enes Kanter to take his job, Al Jefferson told them, "Oh, I'll be good as long as there's a spot for me somewhere in the league."

ESPN: Jersey sponsors likely coming to the NBA in the next five years.

And I love this NBA Jam video the Suns put together for Gerald Green's 41-point night.

— Aaron Falk

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