The path to the presidency winds through the Rocky Mountain states, bringing unprecedented attention to a region that until recently was overlooked by national politicians.
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain have spent considerable time and a chunk of money to win over Utah's neighbors - Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado - considered by many political observers to be key battlegrounds.
But in this traditionally right-leaning region, Obama's campaign has been downright audacious, making a play for Montana, McCain's
home state of Arizona and even overwhelmingly Republican Utah.
This week, the Democratic Party will step up its recent love affair
with the Intermountain West as delegates gather in Denver for their
national convention.
The location isn't a coincidence. The party is trying to
capitalize on what Time Magazine had dubbed the "purplification of
the West," where Democratic gains in gubernatorial, Senate and House
races suddenly make the region politically competitive.
Since President Bush took office, Democrats in Colorado have won
the governor's mansion, a Senate seat, most of the House seats and
control of the state Legislature.
Five of the eight Intermountain states have elected Democratic
governors since 2000.
And for the first time in a generation, registered Democrats
outnumber Republicans in Nevada, prompting Senate Majority Leader
Harry Reid to remark: "A few years ago, that would be unthinkable."
Reid, a Democrat, believes the candidate who wins the West wins the
White House. Utah's GOP Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr. agrees.
If that's the case, Obama still has some catching up to do,
according to a newly released survey conducted by Washington,
D.C.-based Mason Dixon Research in mid-August. The poll was
commissioned by The Salt Lake Tribune, The Denver Post and other
Western newspapers.
Colorado is the only one of the six states where Obama is ahead,
but his 3-percentage-point advantage is within the 5-point margin of
error.
McCain has his biggest lead in Utah, where 62 percent of
respondents said they would vote for him, even higher than his home
state of Arizona, where 47 percent back McCain.
The pollster contacted 400 likely voters in each state and found
that voters across the West have a more favorable view of McCain and
trust him more on issues ranging from the economy to energy. Obama
had the edge on only environmental issues.
To keep his lead, Huntsman said McCain simply "needs to be who he
is, which is a maverick Westerner."
"Yeah he's a Western senator, an Arizona senator, but one who has
been working in D.C. for an awfully long time," counters Arizona Gov.
Janet Napolitano, a Democrat who said Obama's call for a more
inclusive, less ideological politics will attract Western voters.
Obama's Chicago roots may be hard for some in the region to
overlook.
"I still think for many Westerners any Democrat from east of the
Mississippi is kind of assumed to be a big-government Democrat," said
Daniel Kemmis, a senior fellow at the University of Montana's Center
for the Rocky Mountain West.
Western Democrats have cultivated their own image, describing
themselves as "rugged individualists," a tired term evoking images of
lonely mountain men braving the wilderness.
But left-leaning governors and political analysts say the term
embodies the arms-length distance they try to keep from the political
establishment. They view Democrats in the West as less partisan, less
tied to litmus-test issues such as abortion or gay rights, and less
reliant on a strong party organization with entrenched power players.
They label themselves libertarian Democrats, centrists and
pragmatists.
"We're likely to like having a few guns, and how many? Well, that's
none of your damn business," said Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer.
Rather than being staunch environmentalists, Colorado Gov. Bill
Ritter said Western Democrats are more at ease with old economy
trades like mining, balancing the need for energy with concerns about
the land.
"We, you know, look at issues like oil and gas activity and we're
not of the mind-set that it should all cease and desist," he said.
Adding all of this together, Democrats in the region have created
a no-nonsense problem-solving persona, according to Kemmis, a former
Democratic mayor of Missoula, Mont.
In recent elections, that image has translated into victories,
which makes the region particularly key for Obama's chances in
November.
To win the White House, Obama must redraw the Electoral College map,
flipping states that Bush previously won, which includes not only the
West, but also all of the Plains states and the South.
With those choices, Tom Schaller, political scientist for the
University of Maryland-Baltimore County, says the Dems should head
west.
Schaller is the author of the book Whistling Past Dixie, which
suggests a political strategy that has Democrats ignoring the South,
where conservative moral positions on issues such as abortion make it
difficult for them to win.
"Democrats win votes out West without entirely compromising
themselves as a party," he said.
The West is also the fastest growing region of the country. Utah,
Nevada and Arizona are seeing their populations swell with Hispanic
families and California transplants bringing their own political
philosophy to the area.
These new Westerners will add political clout and Electoral
College votes in the years to come, which means the Democratic love
affair with the West may last far beyond this presidential contest.
mcanham@sltrib.com
gehrke@sltrib.com

